Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 16.385125 18.564467 20.872724 23.494145 26.382983 29.463675 32.991673
2025-01-05 13.062955 16.023942 19.362913 23.385733 28.078509 33.356839 39.718707
2025-01-12 10.173066 13.461584 17.395177 22.398950 28.542173 35.783326 44.904301
2025-01-19 7.990746 11.377769 15.663628 21.398943 28.776951 37.846465 49.722828
2025-01-26 7.045375 10.694338 15.541038 22.310684 31.363288 42.879078 58.437046
2025-02-02 6.631578 10.644195 16.201684 24.251460 35.370083 49.919016 70.081025
2025-02-09 6.017225 10.209056 16.258643 25.335117 38.265499 55.641846 80.300695
2025-02-16 5.249068 9.427376 15.714663 25.485632 39.836405 59.628807 88.367453
2025-02-23 4.463543 8.498621 14.833248 25.030134 40.463564 62.294716 94.702822
2025-03-02 3.843867 7.744745 14.122491 24.735296 41.254610 65.173257 101.405125
2025-03-09 3.396360 7.216032 13.700834 24.824636 42.583596 68.839818 109.332898
2025-03-16 2.963128 6.646146 13.141642 24.626468 43.425519 71.792276 116.308034
2025-03-23 2.781151 6.534883 13.372758 25.774221 46.499165 78.301795 128.924720
2025-03-30 2.484031 6.153995 13.087534 26.023602 48.142210 82.713003 138.600087
2025-04-06 2.081781 5.490543 12.210987 25.165562 47.901223 84.182272 143.861127
2025-04-13 1.727757 4.863919 11.324014 24.195734 47.384048 85.157995 148.363875
2025-04-20 1.637097 4.816034 11.558634 25.289531 50.451120 91.990303 162.265475
2025-04-27 1.660303 5.040476 12.360317 27.497366 55.568430 102.343086 182.081027
2025-05-04 1.587000 5.017678 12.647154 28.735462 59.023395 110.084482 197.964604
2025-05-11 1.430422 4.758137 12.406392 28.924838 60.597649 114.752416 209.034321
2025-05-18 1.240070 4.372907 11.847961 28.432407 60.887550 117.253277 216.633399
2025-05-25 1.085889 4.054132 11.397333 28.112964 61.462611 120.237653 225.097518
2025-06-01 0.977079 3.842194 11.164509 28.217452 62.824176 124.603355 235.964076